PREMIER LEAGUE 2025/26
Liverpool

Liverpool

Home
VS
Sun 15 Mar
16:30 GMT
Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur

Away
13% Home78% Draw8% Away
Full Time
1 - 1
Draw
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 15 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 15 Mar 2026

Our AI model gives Liverpool a 65% chance in this Premier League fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

13%
78%
Liverpool
Draw 78%
Tottenham Hotspur

What's at Stake

Liverpool (6th) welcome Tottenham Hotspur (16th) in a Premier League fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 48 points on the board, while Tottenham Hotspur sit on 29 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.2 expected goals for Liverpool and 0.8 for Tottenham Hotspur, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Liverpool’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 9 in their last five matches — though 6 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Tottenham Hotspur arrive hoping to rediscover their best form, averaging 0.0 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 13 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Liverpool will look to exploit.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Liverpool’s Elo rating (1520) is 159 points higher than Tottenham Hotspur’s (1361), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
2.2
Liverpool xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.8
Tottenham Hotspur xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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