LIGUE 1 2025/26
Olympique Marseille

Olympique Marseille

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VS
Fri 13 Mar
19:45 GMT
Auxerre

Auxerre

Away
91% Home7% Draw2% Away
Full Time
1 - 0
Olympique Marseille win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 13 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Olympique Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Ligue 1 13 Mar 2026

Our AI model gives Olympique Marseille a 55% chance in this Ligue 1 fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

91%
Olympique Marseille
Draw 7%
Auxerre

What's at Stake

Olympique Marseille sit 3rd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Auxerre in 16th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.0 expected goals for Olympique Marseille and 0.8 for Auxerre, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Olympique Marseille’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 6 and conceded 11 in their last five outings.

Auxerre arrive hoping to rediscover their best form, averaging 1.1 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 5 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Olympique Marseille’s Elo rating (1565) is 173 points higher than Auxerre’s (1392), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
2.0
Olympique Marseille xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.8
Auxerre xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Olympique Marseille and Auxerre will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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