Who will win Napoli vs Lecce?

Our AI model predicts Home Win with Napoli at 94%, Draw at 5%, and Lecce at 1%.

What are the best odds for Napoli vs Lecce?

The best odds are Napoli 1.38, Draw 4.96, Lecce 11.20.

When is Napoli vs Lecce?

Napoli vs Lecce kicks off on 14 Mar 2026 at 17:00 GMT in the Serie A.

CalibrSports Research

Updated 14 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Napoli vs Lecce Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 14 Mar 2026

Napoli look to solidify their Champions League spot as they host relegation-battling Lecce

In this article

What's at Stake Form & Team News Head-to-Head Our Prediction Key Stats Best Odds

94%

Napoli

Draw 5%

Lecce

What's at Stake

A home win for Napoli would see them move closer to securing a Champions League spot, while a loss would give their rivals hope. For Lecce, a point or three would be a significant boost in their survival bid, but a loss would plunge them deeper into trouble.

Form & Team News

Lecce's recent 2-1 win over Cremonese was a big result for them, with Santiago Pierotti and Nikola Stulic scoring the goals. However, the injury to Jamie Vardy is a concern, and they will need to find a way to replace his goals if they are to stay up.

Key Numbers

2.1

Napoli xG

Expected Goals

0.8

Lecce xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The average goals per game in this fixture is low, with Napoli averaging 1.0 goal per game and Lecce averaging 0.0. This suggests that Napoli will likely look to control the game and grind out a win, rather than going for a high-scoring victory.

Key Stats

●Napoli have a 62.3% chance of winning, according to the AI prediction data.
●The expected goals (xG) are 2.09 for Napoli and 0.76 for Lecce.
●Napoli have scored 10 goals in their last 5 games, while Lecce have scored 7.
●The shot efficiency of Napoli is 5.7 shots per goal, compared to Lecce's 6.6.
●The head-to-head record between the two teams favors Napoli, with the hosts averaging 1.0 goal per game and Lecce averaging 0.0.