PREMIER LEAGUE 2025/26
Newcastle United

Newcastle United

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Sat 02 May
14:00 GMT
Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

Away
96% Home3% Draw1% Away
Full Time
3 - 1
Newcastle United win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 02 May 2026 · 8 min read

Newcastle United vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 02 May 2026

Our AI model gives Brighton & Hove Albion a 43% chance in this Premier League fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

96%
Newcastle United
Draw 3%
Brighton & Hove Albion

What's at Stake

Newcastle United (14th) welcome Brighton & Hove Albion (6th) in a Premier League fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 42 points on the board, while Brighton & Hove Albion sit on 50 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.3 expected goals for Newcastle United and 1.5 for Brighton & Hove Albion, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Newcastle United’s form coming into this match has been poor, averaging 0.3 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 7 in their last five outings.

Brighton & Hove Albion arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.5 points per game from their last five. On the road they’ve been productive, scoring 10 in their last five while keeping things tight with just 3 conceded.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Brighton & Hove Albion’s Elo rating (1536) is 95 points higher than Newcastle United’s (1440), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
1.3
Newcastle United xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.5
Brighton & Hove Albion xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Newcastle United and Brighton & Hove Albion will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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