LIGUE 1 2025/26
Nice

Nice

Home
VS
Sun 22 Feb
16:15 GMT
Lorient

Lorient

Away
25% Home42% Draw33% Away
Full Time
3 - 3
Draw
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 22 Feb 2026 · 8 min read

Nice vs Lorient Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Ligue 1 22 Feb 2026

Our AI model gives Lorient a 32% chance in this Ligue 1 fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

25%
42%
33%
Nice
Draw 42%
Lorient

What's at Stake

Nice (13th) welcome Lorient (12th) in a Ligue 1 fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 17 points on the board, while Lorient sit on 18 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.5, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Form & Team News

Nice’s form coming into this match has been abysmal, averaging 0.0 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 3 and conceded 13 in their last five outings.

Lorient arrive in fine fettle, averaging 1.9 points per game from their last five. On the road they’ve been productive, scoring 6 in their last five while keeping things tight with just 3 conceded.

Key Numbers
1.3
Nice xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.1
Lorient xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Nice and Lorient will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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