PREMIER LEAGUE 2025/26
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

Home
VS
Sun 22 Feb
14:00 GMT
Liverpool

Liverpool

Away
21% Home37% Draw42% Away
Full Time
0 - 1
Liverpool win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 22 Feb 2026 · 8 min read

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 22 Feb 2026

Our AI model gives Liverpool a 41% chance in this Premier League fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

21%
37%
42%
Nottingham Forest
Draw 37%
Liverpool

What's at Stake

Liverpool sit 4th, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Nottingham Forest in 17th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.7, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Form & Team News

Nottingham Forest’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 0.4 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 8 in their last five outings.

Liverpool arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.2 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 9 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Liverpool’s Elo rating (1549) is 134 points higher than Nottingham Forest’s (1415), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
1.1
Nottingham Forest xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.6
Liverpool xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Nottingham Forest and Liverpool will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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