LA LIGA 2025/26
Osasuna

Osasuna

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VS
Sat 07 Mar
13:00 GMT
Mallorca

Mallorca

Away
0% Home100% Draw0% Away
Full Time
2 - 2
Draw
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 07 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Osasuna vs Mallorca Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — La Liga 07 Mar 2026

Our AI model gives Osasuna a 37% chance in this La Liga fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

0%
100%
Osasuna
Draw 100%
Mallorca

What's at Stake

The stakes couldn’t be higher for Mallorca, who sit 18th and in the relegation battle. Every point is precious at this stage of the season, and a defeat here could leave them staring at the very real prospect of the drop. Osasuna arrive knowing they can pile on the misery or hand a lifeline to their opponents.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.5, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Form & Team News

Osasuna’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.5 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 6 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

Mallorca arrive hoping to rediscover their best form, averaging 0.3 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 9 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Osasuna will look to exploit.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Osasuna’s Elo rating (1491) is 103 points higher than Mallorca’s (1387), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
1.6
Osasuna xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.0
Mallorca xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Osasuna and Mallorca will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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