Osasuna vs Real Madrid Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — La Liga 21 Feb 2026

Real Madrid sit 2nd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Osasuna in 12th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 0.9 expected goals for Osasuna and 2.1 for Real Madrid, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Osasuna’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.6 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 8 in their last five matches — though 7 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Real Madrid arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.2 points per game from their last five. On the road they’ve been productive, scoring 8 in their last five while keeping things tight with just 4 conceded.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Real Madrid’s Elo rating (1649) is 199 points higher than Osasuna’s (1449), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between Osasuna and Real Madrid will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.