LIGUE 1 2025/26
Paris

Paris

Home
VS
Sun 01 Mar
14:00 GMT
Nice

Nice

Away
29% Home39% Draw32% Away
Full Time
1 - 0
Paris win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 01 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Paris vs Nice Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Ligue 1 01 Mar 2026

Our AI model gives Nice a 31% chance in this Ligue 1 fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

29%
39%
32%
Paris
Draw 39%
Nice

What's at Stake

Paris (15th) welcome Nice (14th) in a Ligue 1 fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 23 points on the board, while Nice sit on 24 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.5, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Form & Team News

Paris’s form coming into this match has been excellent, averaging 0.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 3 and conceded 8 in their last five outings.

Nice arrive in fine fettle, averaging 1.0 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 8 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Paris will look to exploit.

Key Numbers
1.4
Paris xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.1
Nice xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Paris and Nice will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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