SERIE A 2025/26
Pisa

Pisa

Home
VS
Fri 01 May
18:45 GMT
Lecce

Lecce

Away
2% Home7% Draw91% Away
Full Time
1 - 2
Lecce win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 01 May 2026 · 8 min read

Pisa vs Lecce Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 01 May 2026

Pisa must beat Lecce to prolong their Serie A survival fight, but the visitors have a more realistic chance of staying afloat

2%
91%
Pisa
Draw 7%
Lecce

What's at Stake

The wider implications of this match are significant, with Pisa staring at a sixth demotion in eight top-flight campaigns if they lose. Lecce, on the other hand, have a chance to secure a fifth consecutive season in Serie A with a win. The pressure is on both teams, but the hosts have more to lose.

Form & Team News

The numbers suggest that Lecce have a slight edge in terms of form, with a 0.6 points per game average in their last five matches compared to Pisa's 0.0. Pisa have shipped 12 goals in their last five games, while Lecce have conceded seven, highlighting the gulf in class between the two teams.

Key Numbers
1.1
Pisa xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.2
Lecce xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between the two teams is not extensive, but Lecce's superior form and league position give them an advantage. Pisa have struggled against teams in the lower half of the table, and Lecce will look to exploit their weaknesses.

Key Stats

  • Pisa have lost their last five matches, scoring just one goal
  • Lecce have a 50% players in form rating, the same as Pisa
  • Pisa have shipped 12 goals in their last five games, while Lecce have conceded seven
  • Lecce have a 79-point Elo gap advantage over Pisa
  • Pisa have a 0.0 points per game average in their last five matches, compared to Lecce's 0.6
  • Lecce have a slightly better xG record, with 1.19 expected goals compared to Pisa's 1.09
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