SERIE A 2025/26
Pisa

Pisa

Home
VS
Sun 17 May
10:00 GMT
Napoli

Napoli

Away
1% Home1% Draw98% Away
Full Time
0 - 3
Napoli win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 17 May 2026 · 8 min read

Pisa vs Napoli Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 17 May 2026

Our AI model gives Napoli a 60% chance in this Serie A fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

1%
98%
Pisa
Draw 1%
Napoli

What's at Stake

Napoli sit 2nd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Pisa in 20th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 0.9 expected goals for Pisa and 2.0 for Napoli, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Pisa’s form coming into this match has been abysmal, averaging 0.0 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 2 and conceded 11 in their last five outings.

Napoli arrive in fine fettle, averaging 1.0 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 7 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Napoli’s Elo rating (1569) is 289 points higher than Pisa’s (1280), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
0.9
Pisa xG
vs
Expected Goals
2.0
Napoli xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Pisa and Napoli will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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