Portsmouth vs Ipswich Town Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Championship 14 Apr 2026

Ipswich Town sit 2nd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Portsmouth in 22nd, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.2 expected goals for Portsmouth and 1.9 for Ipswich Town, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Portsmouth’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.3 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 5 and conceded 10 in their last five outings.

Ipswich Town arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.4 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 10 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Ipswich Town’s Elo rating (1576) is 164 points higher than Portsmouth’s (1411), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between Portsmouth and Ipswich Town will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

Our model gives Ipswich Town the edge at 52%, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. Portsmouth carry a 19% chance of springing a surprise, and with the draw at 27%, any of the three outcomes is a realistic possibility. The bookmakers tell a similar story — this is a match where the margins are fine.

The expected goals model projects Portsmouth at 1.2 xG and Ipswich Town at 1.9 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (10% probability), followed by 1-2 (9%).