LIGUE 1 2025/26
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain

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VS
Sun 19 Apr
18:45 GMT
Olympique Lyonnais

Olympique Lyonnais

Away
4% Home10% Draw86% Away
Full Time
1 - 2
Olympique Lyonnais win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 19 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Paris Saint Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Ligue 1 19 Apr 2026

Goals expected in this Ligue 1 clash — our model projects 2.3 vs 1.0 xG with Paris Saint Germain given a 51% chance.

4%
86%
Paris Saint Germain
Draw 10%
Olympique Lyonnais

What's at Stake

Paris Saint Germain sit 1st, top of the table, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Olympique Lyonnais in 5th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.3 expected goals for Paris Saint Germain and 1.0 for Olympique Lyonnais, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Paris Saint Germain’s form coming into this match has been excellent, averaging 2.4 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve been particularly impressive at both ends, scoring 12 goals and conceding just 4 in their last five.

Olympique Lyonnais arrive averaging 1.4 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 3 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Paris Saint Germain’s Elo rating (1629) is 107 points higher than Olympique Lyonnais’s (1522), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
2.3
Paris Saint Germain xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.0
Olympique Lyonnais xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Paris Saint Germain and Olympique Lyonnais will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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