LA LIGA 2025/26
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

Home
VS
Sat 11 Apr
12:00 GMT
Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés

Away
5% Home85% Draw10% Away
Full Time
3 - 3
Draw
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 11 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — La Liga 11 Apr 2026

Our AI model gives Real Sociedad a 40% chance in this La Liga fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

5%
85%
Real Sociedad
Draw 85%
Deportivo Alavés

What's at Stake

Real Sociedad (7th) welcome Deportivo Alavés (15th) in a La Liga fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 41 points on the board, while Deportivo Alavés sit on 32 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.8 expected goals for Real Sociedad and 1.1 for Deportivo Alavés, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Real Sociedad’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 9 in their last five matches — though 7 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Deportivo Alavés arrive averaging 1.2 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 11 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Real Sociedad will look to exploit.

Key Numbers
1.8
Real Sociedad xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.1
Deportivo Alavés xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Real Sociedad and Deportivo Alavés will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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