Real Sociedad vs Getafe Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — La Liga 22 Apr 2026

Real Sociedad (7th) welcome Getafe (8th) in a La Liga fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 42 points on the board, while Getafe sit on 41 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.7, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Real Sociedad’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.5 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 11 in their last five matches — though 10 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Getafe arrive averaging 1.7 points per game from their last five. On the road they’ve been productive, scoring 6 in their last five while keeping things tight with just 3 conceded.

The historical record between Real Sociedad and Getafe will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Real Sociedad are given a 44% chance, Getafe 23%, and the draw 32%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Real Sociedad at 1.7 xG and Getafe at 1.0 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (12% probability), followed by 1-0 (10%).