LIGUE 1 2025/26
Rennes

Rennes

Home
VS
Sat 28 Feb
16:00 GMT
Toulouse

Toulouse

Away
33% Home37% Draw30% Away
Full Time
1 - 0
Rennes win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 28 Feb 2026 · 8 min read

Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Ligue 1 28 Feb 2026

Our AI model gives Rennes a 32% chance in this Ligue 1 fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

33%
37%
30%
Rennes
Draw 37%
Toulouse

What's at Stake

Rennes (6th) welcome Toulouse (10th) in a Ligue 1 fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 37 points on the board, while Toulouse sit on 31 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.7, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Form & Team News

Rennes’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.6 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 7 and conceded 10 in their last five outings.

Toulouse arrive in fine fettle, averaging 0.8 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 4 in their last five outings.

Key Numbers
1.5
Rennes xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.2
Toulouse xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Rennes and Toulouse will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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