SERIE A 2025/26
Roma

Roma

Home
VS
Mon 04 May
18:45 GMT
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Away
98% Home1% Draw1% Away
Full Time
4 - 0
Roma win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 04 May 2026 · 8 min read

Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 04 May 2026

Gian Piero Gasperini's side looks to continue their push for a European spot against struggling Fiorentina

98%
Roma
Draw 1%
Fiorentina

What's at Stake

The implications of this match go beyond just the two teams involved. A Roma win could also impact the teams around them in the table, potentially pushing them closer to a European spot. Meanwhile, a Fiorentina win could have a significant impact on the relegation battle, potentially dragging other teams into the mix.

Form & Team News

Roma's mid-block compresses central lanes before springing forward, which has allowed them to control the tempo of the game. With Paulo Dybala ruled out for the season and centre-back Victor Nelsson still unavailable, the soul of Roma's build-up now flows through Lorenzo Pellegrini and Matías Soulé.

Key Numbers
1.8
Roma xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.9
Fiorentina xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

In their last 5 meetings, Roma has come out on top 3 times, with Fiorentina winning just once. The most recent meeting between the two teams ended in a 2-1 win for Roma, with Matías Soulé scoring the winner.

Key Stats

  • Roma has a 67-point Elo advantage over Fiorentina
  • Roma has scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, while Fiorentina has scored just 4
  • Roma's shot efficiency is 6.3 shots per goal, compared to Fiorentina's 14
  • Roma has averaged 2.0 goals per game against Fiorentina in their head-to-head record
  • Fiorentina has averaged just 1.0 goal per game against Roma
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