SERIE A 2025/26
Roma

Roma

Home
VS
Sun 22 Mar
17:00 GMT
Lecce

Lecce

Away
92% Home7% Draw2% Away
Full Time
1 - 0
LOST
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 22 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Roma vs Lecce Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 22 Mar 2026

Giallorossi host struggling Lecce in crucial Serie A clash

92%
Roma
Draw 7%
Lecce

What's at Stake

For Lecce, the stakes are high as they battle to avoid the drop. Their recent form has seen them score 6 and concede 8 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a need for improvement in both defense and attack. Roma, with their superior goal difference and league position, are favorites to take all three points.

Form & Team News

The news of Koné's injury is a significant blow to Roma, as he has been a key player. However, with 50% of their players in form, Roma still have the talent to outperform Lecce, who have 60% of their players in form. Roma's ability to create scoring opportunities, especially at home, will be crucial in deciding the outcome of the match.

Key Numbers
1.9
Roma xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.8
Lecce xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The head-to-head record also shows that Roma have averaged 1.5 goals per game against Lecce, while Lecce have failed to score in these matches. This significant goal difference in their historical encounters indicates that Roma are likely to control the tempo of the game and create more scoring opportunities.

Our Prediction

Roma's ability to score goals, especially at home, is a key factor in their favor. With an average of 2.67 goals scored per match at the Stadio Olimpico, Roma will be confident of breaking down Lecce's defense. The return of key players to fitness and the home advantage will also play a significant role in determining the outcome.

AI Prediction
Home Win
Most likely: 1-0
92%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Roma have won all their last 5 home matches against Lecce.
  • Roma's Elo rating is 132 points higher than Lecce's.
  • Lecce have scored an average of 0 goals in their last 5 matches against Roma.
  • Roma have a shot efficiency of 5.4 shots per goal.
  • Lecce have conceded an average of 1.67 goals per match in their last 6 games.
  • Roma have averaged 2.67 goals per game at home.
PRO

Proven Models. Real Profits.

Our ML ensemble has delivered consistent profitable returns across Europe's biggest leagues — backed by 10 years of historical performance data.

+486%
30-Day ROI
12+
Markets
500+
Data Points / Game
1X2, O/U, BTTS, AH, DNB
Correct Score predictions
Value edge detection
Kelly-optimal stake sizing
Live in-game updates
Instant Telegram alerts

10 years of consistent performance · 10 leagues & growing · Updated daily

LAUNCH OFFER — 30 Days Free

Start 30-Day Free Trial

No credit card required · Then $25/mo