SERIE A 2025/26
Roma

Roma

Home
VS
Fri 10 Apr
18:45 GMT
Pisa

Pisa

Away
98% Home1% Draw0% Away
Full Time
3 - 0
Roma win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 10 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Roma vs Pisa Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 10 Apr 2026

Our AI model gives Roma a 59% chance in this Serie A fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

98%
Roma
Draw 1%
Pisa

What's at Stake

The stakes couldn’t be higher for Pisa, who sit 20th and in the relegation battle. Every point is precious at this stage of the season, and a defeat here could leave them staring at the very real prospect of the drop. Roma arrive knowing they can pile on the misery or hand a lifeline to their opponents.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.7, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Form & Team News

Roma’s form coming into this match has been blistering, averaging 0.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 8 in their last five matches — though 12 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Pisa arrive in fine fettle, averaging 0.6 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 12 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Roma will look to exploit.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Roma’s Elo rating (1531) is 195 points higher than Pisa’s (1336), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
1.9
Roma xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.8
Pisa xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Roma and Pisa will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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