Samsunspor vs Konyaspor Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Super Lig 05 Apr 2026

Samsunspor (7th) welcome Konyaspor (12th) in a Super Lig fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 35 points on the board, while Konyaspor sit on 30 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.7, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Samsunspor’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.2 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 5 and conceded 7 in their last five outings.

Konyaspor arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.1 points per game from their last five. On the road they’ve been productive, scoring 6 in their last five while keeping things tight with just 4 conceded.

The historical record between Samsunspor and Konyaspor will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Samsunspor are given a 40% chance, Konyaspor 25%, and the draw 34%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Samsunspor at 1.6 xG and Konyaspor at 1.1 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (12% probability), followed by 1-0 (10%).