FIFA WORLD CUP 2026
Senegal

Senegal

Home
VS
Fri 26 Jun
19:00 GMT
Iraq

Iraq

Away
52% Home29% Draw18% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 26 Jun 2026 · 8 min read

Senegal vs Iraq Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — FIFA World Cup 2026 26 Jun 2026

Can Senegal bounce back from their opening loss against France to claim a crucial win over Iraq in the World Cup group stage?

52%
29%
18%
Senegal
Draw 29%
Iraq

What's at Stake

The World Cup tournament context is clear: only the top two teams from each group will advance, along with the best third-placed teams. With two matches left to play, every point counts, and a loss here could severely dent either team's chances of progression.

Form & Team News

In terms of recent performances, Senegal has scored 16 goals and conceded just 2 in their last 5 matches, although this is somewhat skewed by their World Cup opener. Iraq has scored 6 and conceded 3 in the same period, but their shot efficiency has been a concern, with 6.2 shots per goal.

Key Numbers
1.4
Senegal xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.7
Iraq xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

Historically, matches between teams of similar standing have often been closely contested, with a high proportion of draws. However, Senegal's attacking prowess and Iraq's defensive vulnerabilities may lead to a more open and entertaining contest.

Our Prediction

Iraq will likely look to absorb pressure and catch Senegal on the counter, but the African side's superior possession and shot efficiency should ultimately tell. Senegal's ability to control the tempo of the game and create scoring opportunities will be key to their success.

AI Prediction
Home Win
Most likely: 1-0
52%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Senegal has scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Iraq has a shot efficiency of 6.2 shots per goal
  • Senegal's Elo rating is 1683, compared to Iraq's 1652
  • The expected goals (xG) favor Senegal 1.39 to 0.69
  • Senegal has averaged 60% possession in their last 5 matches, while Iraq has averaged 43%
  • Senegal's Sadio Mané and Nicolas Jackson are expected to lead the attack
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