FIFA WORLD CUP 2026
Senegal

Senegal

Home
VS
Fri 26 Jun
19:00 GMT
Iraq

Iraq

Away
100% Home0% Draw0% Away
Full Time
5 - 0
Senegal win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 26 Jun 2026 · 8 min read

Senegal vs Iraq Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — FIFA World Cup 2026 26 Jun 2026

Can Senegal bounce back from their opening loss against France to claim a crucial win over Iraq in the World Cup group stage?

100%
Senegal
Draw 0%
Iraq

What's at Stake

The World Cup tournament context is clear: only the top two teams from each group will advance, along with the best third-placed teams. With two matches left to play, every point counts, and a loss here could severely dent either team's chances of progression.

Form & Team News

In terms of recent performances, Senegal has scored 16 goals and conceded just 2 in their last 5 matches, although this is somewhat skewed by their World Cup opener. Iraq has scored 6 and conceded 3 in the same period, but their shot efficiency has been a concern, with 6.2 shots per goal.

Key Numbers
1.4
Senegal xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.7
Iraq xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

Historically, matches between teams of similar standing have often been closely contested, with a high proportion of draws. However, Senegal's attacking prowess and Iraq's defensive vulnerabilities may lead to a more open and entertaining contest.

Key Stats

  • Senegal has scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Iraq has a shot efficiency of 6.2 shots per goal
  • Senegal's Elo rating is 1683, compared to Iraq's 1652
  • The expected goals (xG) favor Senegal 1.39 to 0.69
  • Senegal has averaged 60% possession in their last 5 matches, while Iraq has averaged 43%
  • Senegal's Sadio Mané and Nicolas Jackson are expected to lead the attack
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