Southampton vs Ipswich Town Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Championship 28 Apr 2026

Ipswich Town sit 2nd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Southampton in 5th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.8 expected goals for Southampton and 1.2 for Ipswich Town, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Southampton’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.6 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 10 in their last five matches — though 6 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Ipswich Town arrive averaging 1.6 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 6 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

The historical record between Southampton and Ipswich Town will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Southampton are given a 40% chance, Ipswich Town 26%, and the draw 33%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Southampton at 1.8 xG and Ipswich Town at 1.2 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (11% probability), followed by 2-1 (9%).