Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 22 Feb 2026

Arsenal sit 1st, top of the table, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Tottenham Hotspur in 12th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 0.8 expected goals for Tottenham Hotspur and 2.0 for Arsenal, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Tottenham Hotspur’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.4 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

Arsenal arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.7 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 10 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Arsenal’s Elo rating (1660) is 225 points higher than Tottenham Hotspur’s (1435), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between Tottenham Hotspur and Arsenal will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.