BUNDESLIGA 2025/26
St. Pauli

St. Pauli

Home
VS
Sun 22 Feb
16:30 GMT
Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

Away
25% Home40% Draw35% Away
Full Time
2 - 1
St. Pauli win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 22 Feb 2026 · 8 min read

St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 22 Feb 2026

Our AI model gives Werder Bremen a 35% chance in this Bundesliga fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

25%
40%
35%
St. Pauli
Draw 40%
Werder Bremen

What's at Stake

St. Pauli (16th) welcome Werder Bremen (10th) in a Bundesliga fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 12 points on the board, while Werder Bremen sit on 17 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.4, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Form & Team News

St. Pauli’s form coming into this match has been inconsistent, averaging 1.2 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

Werder Bremen arrive averaging 0.4 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 10 conceded in five games, a vulnerability St. Pauli will look to exploit.

Key Numbers
1.2
St. Pauli xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.3
Werder Bremen xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between St. Pauli and Werder Bremen will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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