CHAMPIONSHIP 2025/26
Stoke City

Stoke City

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VS
Tue 21 Apr
18:45 GMT
Millwall

Millwall

Away
24% Home30% Draw46% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 21 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Stoke City vs Millwall Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Championship 21 Apr 2026

Millwall's promotion push faces a stern test at Stoke City, but the visitors' form suggests they'll come out on top

24%
30%
46%
Stoke City
Draw 30%
Millwall

What's at Stake

The Championship table is congested, and the battle for promotion is intense. Coventry City have already secured their spot in the Premier League, but the fight for the second automatic spot is far from over. Millwall, Ipswich, and Southampton are all in the mix, and the next few games will be crucial in determining the final standings.

A win for Millwall at Stoke City would be a significant step towards achieving their goal, but the hosts won't make it easy for them.

Form & Team News

The Potters have struggled to find the back of the net, scoring just 4 goals in their last 5 games. Their shot efficiency of 11.5 shots per goal is a concern, and they'll need to improve their finishing if they're to take anything from the game. Millwall, however, have been clinical, scoring 6 goals in their last 5 games, and their players are in form, with 60% of the squad performing well.

Key Numbers
1.3
Stoke City xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.3
Millwall xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The two teams have had mixed results in their recent meetings, but Millwall's current form makes them the favorites. The Lions have been solid defensively, conceding just 4 goals in their last 5 games, and their attack has been potent, scoring 6 goals in the same period. Stoke City, however, have been struggling to find the right balance, and their defense has been vulnerable.

Our Prediction

The game is likely to be a closely contested affair, with both teams creating chances. However, Millwall's form and confidence make them the likely winners. The Lions have the momentum, and their players are performing well, which should give them the edge they need to take the win.

AI Prediction
Away Win
Most likely: 1-1
46%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Millwall have scored 6 goals in their last 5 games, with an xG of 1.29
  • Stoke City have managed just 4 goals in their last 5 games, with an xG of 1.29
  • The Lions have a shot efficiency of 9.3 shots per goal, compared to the Potters' 11.5 shots per goal
  • Millwall's Elo rating of 1553 is 154 points higher than Stoke City's 1399
  • The visitors have a form points per game of 1.7, compared to the hosts' 0.7
  • Millwall have conceded just 4 goals in their last 5 games, while Stoke City have conceded 8
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