Strasbourg vs Nice Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Ligue 1 04 Apr 2026

Strasbourg (8th) welcome Nice (15th) in a Ligue 1 fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 40 points on the board, while Nice sit on 27 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.8 expected goals for Strasbourg and 1.0 for Nice, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Strasbourg’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 7 and conceded 4 in their last five outings.

Nice arrive in fine fettle, averaging 0.8 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 12 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Strasbourg will look to exploit.

The historical record between Strasbourg and Nice will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Strasbourg are given a 45% chance, Nice 21%, and the draw 33%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Strasbourg at 1.8 xG and Nice at 1.0 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (11% probability), followed by 1-0 (10%).