BUNDESLIGA 2025/26
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

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VS
Sat 04 Apr
16:30 GMT
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Away
2% Home5% Draw94% Away
Full Time
0 - 2
Borussia Dortmund win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 04 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 04 Apr 2026

Goals expected in this Bundesliga clash — our model projects 1.7 vs 1.5 xG with Borussia Dortmund given a 35% chance.

2%
94%
VfB Stuttgart
Draw 5%
Borussia Dortmund

What's at Stake

Champions League qualification is on the line in this pivotal Bundesliga encounter. VfB Stuttgart (3rd, 53 pts) host Borussia Dortmund (2nd, 61 pts) in what shapes up as a genuine six-pointer. Both sides will know that dropping points against a direct rival could prove costly come May.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.7 expected goals for VfB Stuttgart and 1.5 for Borussia Dortmund, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

VfB Stuttgart’s form coming into this match has been excellent, averaging 2.4 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 15 in their last five matches — though 7 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

Borussia Dortmund arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.4 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 8 conceded in five games, a vulnerability VfB Stuttgart will look to exploit.

Key Numbers
1.7
VfB Stuttgart xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.5
Borussia Dortmund xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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