BUNDESLIGA 2025/26
VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

Home
VS
Sun 01 Mar
14:30 GMT
VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

Away
67% Home20% Draw13% Away
Full Time
4 - 0
VfB Stuttgart win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 01 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 01 Mar 2026

Goals expected in this Bundesliga clash — our model projects 2.5 vs 0.8 xG with VfB Stuttgart given a 67% chance.

67%
20%
13%
VfB Stuttgart
Draw 20%
VfL Wolfsburg

What's at Stake

VfB Stuttgart sit 4th, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For VfL Wolfsburg in 17th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.5 expected goals for VfB Stuttgart and 0.8 for VfL Wolfsburg, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

VfB Stuttgart’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 11 in their last five matches — though 6 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

VfL Wolfsburg arrive hoping to rediscover their best form, averaging 0.2 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 11 conceded in five games, a vulnerability VfB Stuttgart will look to exploit.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. VfB Stuttgart’s Elo rating (1549) is 180 points higher than VfL Wolfsburg’s (1368), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
2.5
VfB Stuttgart xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.8
VfL Wolfsburg xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between VfB Stuttgart and VfL Wolfsburg will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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