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Fri 24 Apr
19:00 GMT
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35% Home43% Draw22% Away
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CalibrSports Research
Updated 24 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Premier League 24 Apr 2026

Nottingham Forest look to build on Europa League momentum against Sunderland in the Premier League

35%
43%
22%
Sunderland
Draw 43%
Nottingham Forest

What's at Stake

Sunderland and Nottingham Forest are set to clash in a crucial Premier League match, with both teams fighting for points in the mid-table. Sunderland are currently 11th, while Nottingham Forest are 16th, just a few points above the relegation zone. A win for either team could significantly impact their league position and security.

With 34.7% win probability, Sunderland have a slight edge, but Nottingham Forest's recent form and Europa League success make them a formidable opponent.

Form & Team News

Nottingham Forest have been in good form, with a weighted points per game average of 2.0 in their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded just 4 in that period, with Morgan Gibbs-White being a key player. However, they have suffered injuries to Chris Wood, Murillo, and Callum Hudson-Odoi, which could impact their performance.

Sunderland, on the other hand, have a points per game average of 1.7, scoring 7 goals and conceding 6 in their last 5 matches.

Key Numbers
1.5
Sunderland xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.0
Nottingham Forest xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The head-to-head record between Sunderland and Nottingham Forest is limited, but Sunderland have a slight edge with an average of 1.0 goals scored per match. Nottingham Forest have struggled to score against Sunderland, with an average of 0.0 goals per match. This could be a closely contested match, with both teams looking to capitalize on their strengths and exploit their opponent's weaknesses.

Our Prediction

Given the current form and injuries, a draw seems like a likely outcome. Nottingham Forest's Europa League success and recent form make them a tough opponent, but Sunderland's home advantage and slight edge in the head-to-head record give them a chance. The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams creating scoring opportunities.

AI Prediction
Draw
Most likely: 1-1
43%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Sunderland have a 34.7% win probability
  • Nottingham Forest have a 2.0 weighted points per game average in their last 5 matches
  • Sunderland have scored 7 goals and conceded 6 in their last 5 matches
  • Nottingham Forest have scored 10 goals and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches
  • The head-to-head record favors Sunderland with an average of 1.0 goals scored per match
  • Nottingham Forest have a shot efficiency of 5.3 shots per goal in their last 5 matches
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