LIGA PORTUGAL 2025/26
Tondela

Tondela

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VS
Sat 21 Mar
20:30 GMT
AVS

AVS

Away
36% Home40% Draw24% Away
Full Time
0 - 0
Draw
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 21 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Tondela vs AVS Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Liga Portugal 21 Mar 2026

Our AI model gives Tondela a 35% chance in this Liga Portugal fixture. Here’s the full breakdown.

36%
40%
24%
Tondela
Draw 40%
AVS

What's at Stake

The stakes couldn’t be higher for Tondela, who sit 17th and hovering above the danger zone. Every point is precious at this stage of the season, and a defeat here could leave them staring at the very real prospect of the drop. AVS arrive knowing they can pile on the misery or hand a lifeline to their opponents.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.5, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Form & Team News

Tondela’s form coming into this match has been poor, averaging 1.1 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 7 and conceded 6 in their last five outings.

AVS arrive in fine fettle, averaging 0.8 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 3 and conceded 4 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Tondela’s Elo rating (1384) is 85 points higher than AVS’s (1299), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
1.5
Tondela xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.0
AVS xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Tondela and AVS will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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