Trabzonspor vs İstanbul Başakşehir Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Super Lig 19 Apr 2026

Trabzonspor sit 3rd, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For İstanbul Başakşehir in 5th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.1 expected goals for Trabzonspor and 1.1 for İstanbul Başakşehir, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Trabzonspor’s form coming into this match has been blistering, averaging 2.4 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve been particularly impressive at both ends, scoring 8 goals and conceding just 3 in their last five.

İstanbul Başakşehir arrive averaging 1.6 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 5 and conceded 4 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Trabzonspor’s Elo rating (1636) is 103 points higher than İstanbul Başakşehir’s (1533), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between Trabzonspor and İstanbul Başakşehir will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Trabzonspor are given a 49% chance, İstanbul Başakşehir 19%, and the draw 30%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Trabzonspor at 2.1 xG and İstanbul Başakşehir at 1.1 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (10% probability), followed by 2-1 (9%).