SERIE A 2025/26
Udinese

Udinese

Home
VS
Mon 02 Mar
19:45 GMT
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Away
25% Home40% Draw35% Away
Full Time
3 - 0
Udinese win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 02 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Udinese vs Fiorentina Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 02 Mar 2026

Relegation-battling Fiorentina seek crucial points against stubborn Udinese

25%
40%
35%
Udinese
Draw 40%
Fiorentina

What's at Stake

Fiorentina's recent back-to-back Serie A wins have lifted them out of the relegation zone, but they remain in a precarious position. Udinese, meanwhile, are looking to end a three-game losing streak. With 12th-placed Udinese seven points clear of 16th-placed Fiorentina, the visitors know they must take maximum points to boost their survival hopes.

Udinese have designated this match as Heart Health Week in memory of Davide Astori, adding an extra layer of motivation for the home side. The Stadio Friuli is always a tough venue for opponents, and Fiorentina will need to be at their best to take anything from this match.

The league table is congested, and a win for either side could significantly impact their season. Udinese are looking to consolidate their mid-table position, while Fiorentina are desperate to climb away from danger.

Fiorentina's recent European exploits have been underwhelming, and they will need to improve their performance levels to take points from Udinese.

Form & Team News

Udinese have lost their last three games, but they remain a stubborn and well-organized side. They have been active out of possession, using their athletic players to overpower opponents and create problems in transition.

Fiorentina, on the other hand, have won their last two Serie A games, but their performance in the Europa Conference League has been disappointing. They struggled to overcome Jagiellonia, needing extra time to secure their spot in the next round.

Moise Kean has been in form for Fiorentina, scoring in their recent 1-0 win over Pisa. Udinese will need to be aware of his threat if they are to take points from this match.

Udinese's players have been struggling to find their rhythm, with only 50% of their players in form. In contrast, 70% of Fiorentina's players are in form, giving them a significant advantage in terms of squad cohesion.

Key Numbers
1.3
Udinese xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.2
Fiorentina xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

Fiorentina have won the last two clashes against Udinese, including a 5-1 thrashing at Stadio Artemio Franchi. However, Udinese have a good record at home, and they will be looking to use their familiar surroundings to their advantage.

The head-to-head record between the two sides is evenly matched, with Fiorentina winning five of the last 10 meetings and Udinese winning four. The previous meetings have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

Fiorentina's recent dominance in this fixture will give them confidence, but Udinese will be looking to exploit any weaknesses in their opponents' defense.

Key Stats

  • Udinese have lost their last three games, conceding six goals in the process.
  • Fiorentina have won their last two Serie A games, scoring three goals and conceding none.
  • Moise Kean has scored in Fiorentina's last two Serie A games.
  • Udinese have a 50% player form rate, compared to Fiorentina's 70%.
  • The head-to-head record between the two sides is evenly matched, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.
  • Fiorentina have won the last two clashes against Udinese, including a 5-1 thrashing at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
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