PRO LEAGUE 2025/26
Union Saint-Gilloise

Union Saint-Gilloise

Home
VS
Sat 14 Mar
17:15 GMT
Dender

Dender

Away
74% Home16% Draw10% Away
Full Time
2 - 0
Union Saint-Gilloise win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 14 Mar 2026 · 8 min read

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Dender Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Pro League 14 Mar 2026

Goals expected in this Pro League clash — our model projects 2.6 vs 0.8 xG with Union Saint-Gilloise given a 74% chance.

74%
16%
Union Saint-Gilloise
Draw 16%
Dender

What's at Stake

Union Saint-Gilloise sit 1st, top of the table, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Dender in 16th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 2.6 expected goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.8 for Dender, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

Union Saint-Gilloise’s form coming into this match has been excellent, averaging 2.2 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 7 and conceded 4 in their last five outings.

Dender arrive averaging 0.6 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 10 conceded in five games, a vulnerability Union Saint-Gilloise will look to exploit.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. Union Saint-Gilloise’s Elo rating (1637) is 267 points higher than Dender’s (1369), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
2.6
Union Saint-Gilloise xG
vs
Expected Goals
0.8
Dender xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between Union Saint-Gilloise and Dender will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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