FIFA WORLD CUP 2026
Uruguay

Uruguay

Home
VS
Sat 27 Jun
00:00 GMT
Spain

Spain

Away
13% Home28% Draw59% Away
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 27 Jun 2026 · 8 min read

Uruguay vs Spain Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — FIFA World Cup 2026 27 Jun 2026

Uruguay face uphill task against likely qualified Spain in Group H showdown

13%
28%
59%
Uruguay
Draw 28%
Spain

What's at Stake

The match is being played at a neutral venue, which could affect the dynamics of the game. Uruguay will need to be at their best to get a result against a strong Spanish side, even if they are rotated.

Form & Team News

The average possession stats also favor Spain, with 69% possession compared to Uruguay's 55%. This could lead to Spain dominating the game and creating more scoring opportunities.

Key Numbers
0.6
Uruguay xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.5
Spain xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

Uruguay will need to be solid defensively to keep Spain at bay, but their recent record suggests they may struggle to keep a clean sheet.

Our Prediction

The match is likely to be a tight affair, with both teams creating scoring opportunities. However, Spain's quality and depth should ultimately give them the edge.

AI Prediction
Away Win
Most likely: 0-1
59%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Spain have scored 18 goals in their last 5 games
  • Uruguay have conceded 2 goals in their last 5 games
  • Spain's shot efficiency is 6.3 shots per goal
  • Uruguay's average possession is 55%
  • Spain's Elo rating is 1777, 154 points higher than Uruguay's 1623
  • Spain's expected goals (xG) is 1.46, higher than Uruguay's 0.59
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