SERIE A 2025/26
Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona

Home
VS
Sat 04 Apr
16:00 GMT
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Away
2% Home9% Draw88% Away
Full Time
0 - 1
Fiorentina win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 04 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Serie A 04 Apr 2026

Fiorentina's superior form and Elo rating make them favorites in this Serie A clash

2%
88%
Hellas Verona
Draw 9%
Fiorentina

What's at Stake

Fiorentina have a 13-point cushion over Verona, and a win would help them maintain that gap. The pressure is on Verona to perform, and their recent form suggests they might struggle to contain Fiorentina's attack.

Form & Team News

Fiorentina's training session setback, which saw Dodô pull up after a sprint, is a worry, but they've had a more consistent run of form than Verona. Their shot efficiency of 11.0 shots per goal is significantly better than Verona's 18.3.

Key Numbers
1.1
Hellas Verona xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.4
Fiorentina xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

Historically, Verona have averaged 2.0 goals per game against Fiorentina, while Fiorentina have managed just 1.0. However, Fiorentina's current form and Verona's struggles suggest this trend might be reversed.

Key Stats

  • Fiorentina have a 125-point Elo rating advantage over Verona
  • Verona have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches
  • Fiorentina have averaged 1.6 points per game in their last 5 matches
  • Verona's shot efficiency is 18.3 shots per goal
  • Fiorentina's expected goals are 1.39 compared to Verona's 1.09
  • The head-to-head record is closely contested, but Fiorentina's recent form suggests they might have the upper hand
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