LIGA PORTUGAL 2025/26
Vitória Guimarães

Vitória Guimarães

Home
VS
Fri 03 Apr
17:00 GMT
Tondela

Tondela

Away
38% Home35% Draw27% Away
Full Time
5 - 0
WON
Asian HandicapHome -1.5
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 03 Apr 2026 · 8 min read

Vitória Guimarães vs Tondela Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Liga Portugal 03 Apr 2026

The Conquerors host relegation-threatened Tondela in a crucial Primeira Liga match

38%
35%
27%
Vitória Guimarães
Draw 35%
Tondela

What's at Stake

The match has significant implications for both teams, with Vitória Guimarães looking to turn their season around and Tondela fighting to stay in the league. The hosts have a lot to prove after a poor run of form, while the visitors will be looking to capitalize on their opponent's weaknesses.

Form & Team News

The hosts have a 50% players in form rating, the same as Tondela. However, Vitória Guimarães' recent form has been poor, with just 0.1 weighted points per game in their last 5 matches. Tondela, on the other hand, have 1.1 weighted points per game in their last 5 matches, indicating a slight improvement in form.

Key Numbers
1.4
Vitória Guimarães xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.0
Tondela xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between the two teams suggests that Vitória Guimarães have the upper hand, but Tondela have shown that they can cause an upset. The visitors will be looking to use their recent form to their advantage and come away with a win.

Our Prediction

This match has all the ingredients of a thrilling encounter, with both teams having a lot to play for. Vitória Guimarães need to turn their season around, while Tondela are fighting for survival. The hosts are expected to come out on top, but the visitors will not make it easy for them.

AI Prediction
Home Win
Most likely: 1-1
38%
confidence

Key Stats

  • Vitória Guimarães have lost seven of their last 10 matches
  • Tondela have scored 5 goals in their last 5 games
  • The hosts have a 50% players in form rating, the same as Tondela
  • Vitória Guimarães' Elo rating is 1425, compared to Tondela's 1379
  • The expected goals (xG) favor the hosts, with 1.44 expected goals for Vitória Guimarães and 1.03 for Tondela
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