Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 04 Apr 2026

RB Leipzig sit 4th, inside the Champions League places, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For Werder Bremen in 14th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 1.3 expected goals for Werder Bremen and 1.6 for RB Leipzig, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Werder Bremen’s form coming into this match has been solid, averaging 1.9 points per game from their last five fixtures. The goals have been flowing — 8 in their last five matches — though 5 conceded does suggest some vulnerabilities at the back.

RB Leipzig arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.0 points per game from their last five. They’ve scored 11 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. RB Leipzig’s Elo rating (1547) is 124 points higher than Werder Bremen’s (1422), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

The historical record between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Werder Bremen are given a 23% chance, RB Leipzig 41%, and the draw 34%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Werder Bremen at 1.3 xG and RB Leipzig at 1.6 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (12% probability), followed by 1-2 (9%).