BUNDESLIGA 2025/26
VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg

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VS
Sat 09 May
16:30 GMT
FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München

Away
1% Home5% Draw94% Away
Full Time
0 - 1
FC Bayern München win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 09 May 2026 · 8 min read

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern München Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — Bundesliga 09 May 2026

Goals expected in this Bundesliga clash — our model projects 0.9 vs 2.5 xG with FC Bayern München given a 70% chance.

1%
94%
VfL Wolfsburg
Draw 5%
FC Bayern München

What's at Stake

FC Bayern München sit 1st, top of the table, and will view this as an opportunity to consolidate their position. For VfL Wolfsburg in 16th, this is a chance to make a statement against one of the league’s top sides — the kind of result that can shift momentum for the rest of the campaign.

The numbers point towards an entertaining game. Our model projects 0.9 expected goals for VfL Wolfsburg and 2.5 for FC Bayern München, suggesting we could see goals at both ends. If both sides play to their offensive strengths, the neutral will be in for a treat.

Form & Team News

VfL Wolfsburg’s form coming into this match has been poor, averaging 1.2 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 7 and conceded 10 in their last five outings.

FC Bayern München arrive in fine fettle, averaging 2.4 points per game from their last five. However, their defensive record is a concern — 10 conceded in five games, a vulnerability VfL Wolfsburg will look to exploit.

The quality gap between these sides is notable. FC Bayern München’s Elo rating (1694) is 325 points higher than VfL Wolfsburg’s (1369), suggesting a meaningful difference in overall squad strength and performance level.

Key Numbers
0.9
VfL Wolfsburg xG
vs
Expected Goals
2.5
FC Bayern München xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

The historical record between VfL Wolfsburg and FC Bayern München will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

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