Lock It Down
HOUSE· 52 followersDefensive specialist. Under-goals lines plus Clean Sheet picks in leagues where the data supports them (Serie A, Liga Portugal).
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Recipe updated Apr 18, 2026. Markets in this strategy were reworked to match the current model calibration. The equity curve below reflects both old and new recipes — use the headline stats as the directional signal, not day-one returns.
If you'd followed this 30 days ago
$10,000$10,401(+$401)
Compound Kelly sizing across 19 settled bets · every result timestamped and public
ROI
+15.4%
Win Rate
52.6%
Total Bets
19
PnL ($10k)
+$401
RecentLWWLWLLLWW
Equity Curve (30 days)
Strategy Details
StakingFlat 2%
Market Breakdown
MarketBetsWin RateROI
ou_3_51553%+20.5%
cs450%-0.8%
Recent Bets
Sassuolo vs Lecce
Clean Sheet · Away CS No · 1.33
W
+1.3%
Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5 · 1.46
W
+0.2%
Everton vs Sunderland
O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5 · 1.46
L
-0.5%
Brentford vs Crystal Palace
O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5 · 1.43
L
-0.5%
Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest
O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5 · 1.48
L
-0.5%
Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund
O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5 · 1.91
W
+3.2%
Aston Villa vs Liverpool
O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5 · 1.66
L
-2.4%
Rennes vs Paris
O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5 · 1.71
W
+1.5%
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United
O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5 · 1.41
W
+0.3%
Lazio vs Inter
Clean Sheet · Away CS No · 1.44
L
-0.7%
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