Getafe vs Mallorca Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — La Liga 13 May 2026

Getafe (7th) welcome Mallorca (15th) in a La Liga fixture where both sides will be eager to climb the table. The hosts have 45 points on the board, while Mallorca sit on 39 — neither can afford to let standards slip with the business end of the season approaching.

Don’t expect a goal-fest here. With a combined projected xG of 2.5, this has the makings of a cagey, tactical affair where defensive discipline could prove the difference.

Getafe’s form coming into this match has been excellent, averaging 0.8 points per game from their last five fixtures. They’ve scored 1 and conceded 5 in their last five outings.

Mallorca arrive averaging 1.5 points per game from their last five. On the road they’ve been productive, scoring 7 in their last five while keeping things tight with just 4 conceded.

The historical record between Getafe and Mallorca will be on the minds of both managers as they plot their approach. Every encounter adds another chapter to the rivalry, and this one carries its own unique set of circumstances and pressures.

This is about as tight as it gets in our predictions. Getafe are given a 30% chance, Mallorca 29%, and the draw 40%. When the probabilities are this close, it’s a game that could go any way, and picking a winner with confidence is virtually impossible.

The expected goals model projects Getafe at 1.4 xG and Mallorca at 1.1 xG. The most likely scoreline according to our Poisson model is 1-1 (13% probability), followed by 1-0 (10%).