Powered by CalibrSports ML ยท Pre-tournament analysis
Inter Milan
Elite header of the ball and prolific Serie A striker, the quality that can unlock any defence
Bayer Leverkusen
Clinical and technically gifted second striker who provides cover and creativity
Feyenoord
Pacy wide midfielder capable of decisive moments in big games
31-player squad ยท provisional, via SportMonks ยท finalized closer to kickoff
Manager
Amir Ghalenoei
Formation
4-2-3-1
Tactically disciplined and difficult to break down, with Mehdi Taremi providing a constant aerial and link-up threat as the lone striker.
Taremi has thrived at Inter Milan as a technical and powerful finisher; his World Cup record is strong and he is regularly underpriced in international markets.
With Belgium expected to win the group, second place is a two-way fight between Iran and Egypt; Iran's collective organisation and Taremi's quality make them a value play.
Two defensively organised sides with similar tactical profiles meeting in a must-win context; expect a tight, low-scoring affair.
Will Iran qualify from the group stage?
CalibrSports ML gives Iran a 42% probability of advancing from Group G, based on squad strength and opponent ratings.
What are Iran's chances of winning WC 2026?
Our model gives Iran a 0% chance of winning the World Cup 2026.
Who is Iran's best player at WC 2026?
Mehdi Taremi (ST at Inter Milan) โ Elite header of the ball and prolific Serie A striker, the quality that can unlock any defence
Iran under Ghalenoei are pragmatic and hard to beat โ they have now reached three consecutive World Cups and Taremi's Serie A pedigree elevates them above most Asian nations. Their realistic target is second place in Group G. CalibrSports gives Iran a 42% chance of advancing from the group stage.