Powered by CalibrSports ML ยท Pre-tournament analysis
Al-Shorta
Iraq's most creative player and the primary source of attacking inspiration
Al-Zawraa
Physical and direct centre-forward who works hard and leads the press
Club Brugge
The most Europe-experienced Iraqi player, providing quality in midfield transition
26-player squad ยท provisional, via SportMonks ยท finalized closer to kickoff
Manager
Jesus Casas
Formation
4-2-3-1
Defensively compact and difficult to break down, relying on collective organisation and fast transitions through Amjad Attwan to create threatening moments against higher-ranked opposition.
Drawn in arguably the toughest group with France, Haaland's Norway, and Senegal, Iraq's chances of advancing are negligible; group exit is near-certainty.
Jesus Casas will set up defensively and Iraq may frustrate one of the less dangerous sides in a single game; a clean sheet at long odds offers asymmetric value.
Against any opposition Iraq will attempt an early high press; if they score first and sit in it can become a headline result โ the opening goal price often drifts far too wide.
Will Iraq qualify from the group stage?
CalibrSports ML gives Iraq a 22% probability of advancing from Group I, based on squad strength and opponent ratings.
What are Iraq's chances of winning WC 2026?
Our model gives Iraq a 0% chance of winning the World Cup 2026.
Who is Iraq's best player at WC 2026?
Amjad Attwan (CAM at Al-Shorta) โ Iraq's most creative player and the primary source of attacking inspiration
Iraq return to the World Cup for the first time since 1986 โ a remarkable achievement for Jesus Casas and a historic moment for the country. However, Group I with France, Norway, and Senegal is one of the most challenging possible draws. CalibrSports gives Iraq a 22% chance of advancing from the group, with their best hope being a collective defensive performance.