Mexico — FIFA World Cup 2026

Group AJavier Aguirre4-3-3
CalibrSports Strength Rating60 / 100

Will Mexico Qualify from Group A?

Advance from Group62%
Reach Quarter-Final20%
Reach Semi-Final6%
Reach the Final2%
Win the World Cup1%

Powered by CalibrSports ML · Pre-tournament analysis

Key Players for Mexico at World Cup 2026

Hirving Lozano
RW

San Diego FC

Explosive pacey winger, primary creator on the break

Raúl Jiménez
ST

Fulham

Aerial and hold-up target; 20+ international goals

Edson Álvarez
CDM

West Ham United

Defensive anchor, breaks up play and sets the tempo

Mexico World Cup 2026 Squad

26-player squad · provisional, via SportMonks · finalized closer to kickoff

Goalkeepers(3)

Raúl Rangel12Raúl Rangel
Carlos AcevedoCarlos Acevedo
Guillermo OchoaGuillermo Ochoa

Defenders(6)

Israel Reyes15Israel Reyes
Jesús Gallardo23Jesús Gallardo
César MontesCésar Montes
Johan VásquezJohan Vásquez
Jorge SánchezJorge Sánchez
Mateo ChávezMateo Chávez

Midfielders(9)

Érik Lira6Érik Lira
Brian GutiérrezBrian Gutiérrez
Edson ÁlvarezEdson Álvarez
Gilberto MoraGilberto Mora
Luis ChávezLuis Chávez
Luis RomoLuis Romo
Obed VargasObed Vargas
Orbelín PinedaOrbelín Pineda
Álvaro FidalgoÁlvaro Fidalgo

Attackers(8)

Roberto Alvarado25Roberto Alvarado
Alexis VegaAlexis Vega
Armando GonzálezArmando González
César HuertaCésar Huerta
Guillermo Martínez AyalaGuillermo Martínez Ayala
Julián QuiñonesJulián Quiñones
Raúl JiménezRaúl Jiménez
Santiago GimenezSantiago Gimenez

Mexico Manager & Playing Style

Manager

Javier Aguirre

Formation

4-3-3

Disciplined and compact in defence with quick counter-attacking transitions through wide channels and set-piece threat.

Mexico World Cup History

2022Group stage
2018Round of 16
2014Round of 16

Mexico's Group A Opponents

1Mexico (this team)60 pts
2South Korea57 pts
3Czechia45 pts
4South Africa32 pts

WC 2026 Betting Angles for Mexico

1X2 — Mexico Win

Aguirre sides earn home-atmosphere bonus in North American venues; Mexico are 1X2 value as group favourites at +130.

BTTS Yes

Mexico score in every WC 2022 group game yet concede at least once per match — BTTS Yes lands in 4 of their last 5 WC group fixtures.

Over 2.5 Goals

Mexico vs mid-tier opposition trends Over 2.5 in 60% of recent competitive fixtures when they advance from the group.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Mexico qualify from the group stage?

CalibrSports ML gives Mexico a 62% probability of advancing from Group A, based on squad strength and opponent ratings.

What are Mexico's chances of winning WC 2026?

Our model gives Mexico a 1% chance of winning the World Cup 2026.

Who is Mexico's best player at WC 2026?

Hirving Lozano (RW at San Diego FC) — Explosive pacey winger, primary creator on the break

CalibrSports Verdict on Mexico

Javier Aguirre returns for a third stint as El Tri boss, fielding an experienced spine built around Álvarez and Jiménez. Mexico sit in a competitive but winnable Group A, and CalibrSports gives them a 62% chance of advancing. A deep run depends on Lozano staying fit and Jiménez rediscovering his sharpest finishing form.