Uruguay — FIFA World Cup 2026

Group HMarcelo Bielsa3-5-2
CalibrSports Strength Rating69 / 100

Will Uruguay Qualify from Group H?

Advance from Group62%
Reach Quarter-Final31%
Reach Semi-Final9%
Reach the Final3%
Win the World Cup1%

Powered by CalibrSports ML · Pre-tournament analysis

See All WC Picks →

Key Players for Uruguay at World Cup 2026

Federico ValverdeGolden Boot
CM

Real Madrid

Box-to-box powerhouse and the most complete midfielder in South America

Darwin NúñezGolden Boot
ST

Liverpool

Electric pace and power up front; inconsistent but devastating on his day

Ronald Araújo
CB

FC Barcelona

World-class centre-back whose aggression and physicality anchor the Bielsa defence

Uruguay World Cup 2026 Squad

28-player squad · provisional, via SportMonks · finalized closer to kickoff

Goalkeepers(3)

Sergio Rochet1Sergio Rochet
Santiago Mele12Santiago Mele
Fernando Muslera23Fernando Muslera

Defenders(11)

José María Giménez2José María GiménezC
Sebastián Cáceres3Sebastián Cáceres
Ronald Araujo4Ronald Araujo
Juan Manuel Sanabria6Juan Manuel Sanabria
Guillermo Varela13Guillermo Varela
Mathías Olivera16Mathías Olivera
Matías Viña17Matías Viña
Maxi Araújo20Maxi Araújo
Joaquín Piquerez22Joaquín Piquerez
José Luis Rodríguez24José Luis Rodríguez
Santiago Bueno–Santiago Bueno

Midfielders(6)

Manuel Ugarte5Manuel Ugarte
Nicolás de la Cruz7Nicolás de la Cruz
Emiliano Martínez8Emiliano Martínez
Giorgian de Arrascaeta10Giorgian de Arrascaeta
Federico Valverde15Federico Valverde
Nicolás Fonseca25Nicolás Fonseca

Attackers(8)

Darwin Núñez9Darwin Núñez
Facundo Pellistri11Facundo Pellistri
Agustín Canobbio14Agustín Canobbio
Brian Rodríguez18Brian Rodríguez
Federico Viñas19Federico Viñas
Facundo Torres21Facundo Torres
Rodrigo Aguirre26Rodrigo Aguirre
Agustín Álvarez–Agustín Álvarez

Uruguay Manager & Playing Style

Manager

Marcelo Bielsa

Formation

3-5-2

Bielsa's high-intensity pressing game built on a resolute defensive block, with Valverde and Araújo providing the engine room and Núñez leading the line with explosive forward runs.

Uruguay World Cup History

2022Group stage
2018Quarter-final
2014Round of 16

Uruguay's Group H Opponents

1Spain93 pts
2Uruguay (this team)69 pts
3Saudi Arabia46 pts
4Cape Verde38 pts

WC 2026 Betting Angles for Uruguay

Uruguay to qualify from Group H

Despite Spain's dominance, Uruguay are class above Saudi Arabia and Cape Verde; Bielsa's tactical setup should secure second place with room to spare.

Valverde shots on target

In Bielsa's system Valverde gets forward regularly and shoots from range; his shots on target is consistently underpriced in player prop markets.

Uruguay — Asian Handicap -1 vs Cape Verde

Uruguay should dominate against Cape Verde's first-ever World Cup side; the -1 handicap represents strong value given Uruguay's superior quality at every position.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will Uruguay qualify from the group stage?

CalibrSports ML gives Uruguay a 62% probability of advancing from Group H, based on squad strength and opponent ratings.

What are Uruguay's chances of winning WC 2026?

Our model gives Uruguay a 1% chance of winning the World Cup 2026.

Who is Uruguay's best player at WC 2026?

Federico Valverde (CM at Real Madrid) — Box-to-box powerhouse and the most complete midfielder in South America

CalibrSports Verdict on Uruguay

Uruguay under Bielsa play the most intense and structured football of any South American side. Valverde is among the world's best midfielders and Núñez offers a genuine match-winning threat. Second place in Group H is a realistic minimum target. CalibrSports gives Uruguay an 80% chance of advancing from the group and a 17% chance of reaching the quarter-finals.

Track WC Picks →Back to All Groups →