Powered by CalibrSports ML Β· Pre-tournament analysis
Roma
Serie A-tested striker and Uzbekistan's most dangerous goalscorer with movement and physicality
FK Pakhtakor
Creative wide forward and the most technically gifted player in Uzbekistan's domestic scene
FK Navbahor
Defensive anchor and captain who shields the backline and organises the team shape
26-player squad Β· provisional, via SportMonks Β· finalized closer to kickoff
Manager
Srecko Katanec
Formation
4-2-3-1
Technically disciplined and compact with Eldor Shomurodov's movement and finishing providing the primary attacking threat from a structured mid-block that aims to frustrate and counter.
In their most winnable fixture, Uzbekistan will attack from the start; Shomurodov's Serie A experience against a DR Congo defence makes them to score a solid play.
Portugal and Colombia are significantly better; despite Uzbekistan's historic first qualification, advancing is a massive ask and group exit is heavily favoured.
Two similarly ranked debutant-level sides meeting in what is effectively a must-win game for both; an open, BTTS match is the most likely scenario.
Will Uzbekistan qualify from the group stage?
CalibrSports ML gives Uzbekistan a 22% probability of advancing from Group K, based on squad strength and opponent ratings.
What are Uzbekistan's chances of winning WC 2026?
Our model gives Uzbekistan a 0% chance of winning the World Cup 2026.
Who is Uzbekistan's best player at WC 2026?
Eldor Shomurodov (ST at Roma) β Serie A-tested striker and Uzbekistan's most dangerous goalscorer with movement and physicality
Uzbekistan make their first-ever World Cup appearance after years of near-misses in Asian qualifying. Katanec has built a disciplined and structured side and Shomurodov provides genuine Serie A quality up front. Group K with Portugal and Colombia is tough but the experience alone is invaluable. CalibrSports gives Uzbekistan a 22% chance of advancing from the group.