In-Game Tracking
Definition
In-Game Tracking is CalibrSports's live match monitoring system that updates win probabilities every 5 minutes during matches. It combines pre-match ML predictions with real-time data — current score, minute elapsed, red cards, and recent momentum — to show how the probability of each outcome evolves as the game unfolds.
Example
Real Madrid vs Barcelona — Pre-match probabilities: Real Madrid 52%, Draw 26%, Barcelona 22%. At the 35th minute Barcelona score to make it 0-1.
In-Game Tracking updates instantly: Real Madrid 28%, Draw 31%, Barcelona 41%. The probability chart on the Match Detail page shows this shift with a goal marker, allowing you to see how each event changed the match dynamics in real time.
How CalibrSports Predicts This
Our in-game ML model runs every 5 minutes during live matches, combining the 162 pre-match features with 14 live-state features including score, minute, and red cards. Results feed into the live probability chart on each match detail page. The same system powers our hedge engine — when a pre-match bet's probability drops significantly, the hedge engine evaluates a counter-bet.
Key Facts
Poll interval
Every 5 minutes
Live features added
14 (score, minute, cards, etc.)
Displayed on
Match Detail page — probability chart
Feeds
Live chart + hedge engine
Related Terms
Frequently Asked Questions
How accurate are in-game probability updates?
The in-game model uses the same ensemble architecture as our pre-match model but adds live context. Accuracy is highest in the 60–85 minute window where enough match information has accumulated. Early-game updates carry more uncertainty.
Can I use in-game tracking to place live bets?
Our in-game tracking is designed to help you monitor your active bets and understand how match dynamics are shifting. We display live probabilities, but live bet recommendations are currently limited to hedge alerts triggered by the automated hedge engine.
What is the minimum plan to access in-game tracking?
Live probability charts and in-game data are available on the Pro plan. The Match Detail page is accessible to free users but the detailed probability chart and in-game tab are Pro features.