LA LIGA 2025/26
Osasuna

Osasuna

Home
VS
Tue 12 May
19:30 GMT
Atlético Madrid

Atlético Madrid

Away
3% Home7% Draw90% Away
Full Time
1 - 2
Atlético Madrid win
CS
CalibrSports Research
Updated 12 May 2026 · 8 min read

Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips — La Liga 12 May 2026

Osasuna hosts Atletico Madrid with the visitors seeking to end their poor run of form and make it nine wins in eleven visits

3%
90%
Osasuna
Draw 7%
Atlético Madrid

What's at Stake

The wider implications of this match are minimal, given Atletico's secure position in the top four. However, Osasuna will be keen to avoid getting sucked into the relegation battle, and a win against a top-four team would be a significant confidence boost.

Form & Team News

The visitors will be looking to take advantage of Osasuna's poor form and make it nine wins in eleven visits. Diego Simeone's side has a strong squad and will be confident of getting a result, despite their recent struggles.

Key Numbers
1.2
Osasuna xG
vs
Expected Goals
1.5
Atlético Madrid xG

The Head-to-Head Factor

Osasuna will need to be at their best to get a result against Atletico. They've struggled to score goals against the visitors in the past, and their defensive record has been poor. However, they'll be looking to make home advantage count and cause an upset.

Key Stats

  • Atletico Madrid has won eight times in their last ten visits to Osasuna
  • Osasuna has just two wins in their last ten games
  • Atletico Madrid has a 87-point gap in terms of form points per game over the last five matches
  • The visitors have scored more goals than Osasuna in their last five matches, with eight goals scored compared to six
  • Atletico Madrid's Elo rating of 1556 gives them a significant advantage over Osasuna's 1469
  • The expected goals (xG) favour Atletico Madrid, with an xG of 1.49 compared to Osasuna's 1.20
PRO

Proven Models. Real Profits.

Our ML ensemble has delivered consistent profitable returns across Europe's biggest leagues — backed by 10 years of historical performance data.

+486%
30-Day ROI
12+
Markets
500+
Data Points / Game
1X2, O/U, BTTS, AH, DNB
Correct Score predictions
Value edge detection
Kelly-optimal stake sizing
Live in-game updates
Instant Telegram alerts

10 years of consistent performance · 10 leagues & growing · Updated daily

LAUNCH OFFER — 15 Days Free

Start 15-Day Free Trial

Then $25/mo · Cancel anytime